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Fig. 1. Map of northern China indicating the research area of Zhongtiaoshan forest region with a grey large dot (d-maps 2020, modified). East Asia free map, free blank map, free outline map, free base map hydrography, states, main cities, names. Gap https://d-maps.com/carte.php?num_car=28780&lang=en. Accessed 19 January 2021.

Table 1. Tree species-specific information of sample trees of the investigated tree species Pinus tabuliformis, Pinus armandii, Larix principis-rupprechtii, Quercus liaotungensis, Quercus variabilis, Quercus aliena and Betula platyphylla
tree species sample trees
(n)
elevation
(m a.s.l.)
tree age (y) tree height (m)
mean sd mean sd
P. tabuliformis 27 1187–1677 69 17 14.55 2.40
P. armandii 27 1338–1897 57 12 14.68 2.47
L. principis-rupprechtii 27 1191–1916 34 7 16.86 2.62
Q. liaotungensis 27 1283–1956 57 30 15.88 1.84
Q. variabilis 26 750–1223 60 14 18.20 3.41
Q. aliena 27 932–1350 79 16 17.45 1.76
B. platyphylla 27 1519–1927 38 18 16.18 1.68

Fig. 2. Observed tree heights for all investigated tree species Pinus tabuliformis, Pinus armandii, Larix principis-rupprechtii, Quercus liaotungensis, Quercus variabilis, Quercus aliena and Betula platyphylla from stem analysis. Height of annual shoots are estimated based on the method from Carmean (1972).

Table 2. Model formulations of the two base functions and the five resulting dynamic equations used to fit tree species specific families of height growth curves.
base function site parameters solution for X with initial values (y0, t0) dynamic equation ID
L1
L2
L3
R1
R2
Table 3. Akaike information criterion (AIC), root mean square error (RMSE) and bias (ē) for all fitted height growth models based on the five dynamic equations and fitted with both approaches the nonlinear mixed-effects model approach (NLME) and the nonlinear model approach with dummy variables (NLFE) to all investigated tree species Pinus tabuliformis, Pinus armandii, Larix principis-rupprechtii, Quercus liaotungensis, Quercus variabilis, Quercus aliena and Betula platyphylla
tree species approach model AIC RMSE ē approach model AIC RMSE ē
P. tabuliformis NLME L1 –4596.3 34.63 28.79 NLFE L1 –4465.8 34.61 28.7
L2 –4541 34.59 28.75 L2 –4446.7 34.6 28.68
L3 –4337.3 34.4 28.63 L3 –4305.2 34.39 28.55
R1 –4650.7 34.5 28.63 R1 –4716 34.48 28.56
R2 –4574.5 34.44 28.58 R2 –4657.8 34.46 28.53
P. armandii NLME L1 –2744.4 26.12 21.68 NLFE L1 –2636.1 26.19 21.69
L2 –2703.5 26.11 21.67 L2 –2610.7 26.16 21.65
L3 –2583.1 26.05 21.64 L3 –2525 26.07 21.58
R1 –2794.8 25.96 21.49 R1 –2818.2 25.99 21.44
R2 –2739.2 25.94 21.48 R2 –2774 25.97 21.42
L. principis-ruprpechtii NLME L1 –380.1 10.68 8.65 NLFE L1 –332.8 10.76 8.67
L2 –378.9 10.67 8.64 L2 –333.4 10.78 8.68
L3 –350.1 10.58 8.58 L3 –324.3 10.67 8.61
R1 –408.1 10.45 8.37 R1 –475.7 10.5 8.38
R2 –402.9 10.44 8.36 R2 –437.2 10.47 8.3
Q. liaotungensis NLME L1 –2104.9 43.17 33.75 NLFE L1 –2111.3 43.27 33.68
L2 –2110.8 43.18 33.73 L2 –2118.6 43.29 33.68
L3 –2116.8 43.09 33.63 L3 –2169.9 43.28 33.64
R1 –2210 42.82 33.41 R1 –2232.1 42.68 33.21
R2 –2200.2 42.86 33.41 R2 –2224.9 42.8 33.28
Q. variabilis NLME L1 –1322.1 26.21 21.5 NLFE L1 –1336.5 26.32 21.56
L2 –1340.8 26.2 21.46 L2 –1352.2 26.34 21.54
L3 –1345.6 26.1 21.35 L3 –1370.9 26.24 21.41
R1 –1415 25.91 21.17 R1 –1492.5 25.94 21.12
R2 –1439.4 25.91 21.14 R2 –1514 25.99 21.12
Q. aliena NLME L1 –2469.6 30.49 25.3 NLFE L1 –2536.3 30.46 25.2
L2 –2464.5 30.48 25.29 L2 –2536.2 30.48 25.2
L3 –2417.8 30.37 25.19 L3 –2501.7 30.38 25.13
R1 –2555.2 30.28 25.09 R1 –2656.4 30.22 24.97
R2 –2538 30.27 25.08 R2 –2639.7 30.27 25
B. platyphylla NLME L1 –207.1 22.66 16.54 NLFE L1 –238.3 22.77 16.56
L2 –187.6 22.64 16.51 L2 –231.7 22.78 16.55
L3 –118.3 22.49 16.35 L3 –188.6 22.64 16.38
R1 –224.6 22.53 16.34 R1 –286.4 22.68 16.4
R2 –199.4 22.51 16.3 R2 –271.2 22.72 16.39
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Fig. 3. Plots of the fitted nonlinear model with dummy variables (NLFE) R2 to height growth data from Quercus variabilis. a): family of polymorphic height growth curves with varying asymptotes; numbers after each height growth curve indicate corresponding modelled tree height at base age 40, grey lines in the background indicate observed tree height values. b): residual plots of standardized residuals vs. predicted tree heights. c): predicted tree heights vs. observed tree heights.

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Fig. 4. Tree species Pinus tabuliformis, Pinus armandii, Quercus liaotungensis, Quercus aliena and Betula platyphylla are organized in rows, plot types of the fitted nonlinear models with dummy variables (NLFE) R1 to height growth data are organized in columns. First column: families of polymorphic height growth curves with varying asymptotes; numbers after each height growth curve indicate corresponding modelled tree height at base age 40, grey lines in the background indicate observed tree height values. Second column: residual plots of standardized residuals vs. predicted tree heights. Third column: predicted tree heights vs. observed tree heights.

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Fig. 5. Plot types of the fitted nonlinear models with dummy variables (NLFE) and nonlinear mixed-effects models (NLME) using the dynamic equations R1, R2 and L1 to height growth data of Larix principis-rupprechtii are organized in columns. First column: families of polymorphic height growth curves with varying asymptotes; numbers after each height growth curve indicate corresponding modelled tree height at base age 40, grey lines in the background indicate observed tree height values. Second column: residual plots of standardized residuals vs. predicted tree heights. Third column: predicted tree heights vs. observed tree heights.

Table 4. Estimated parameter values for the best fitting height growth model of each investigated tree species Pinus tabuliformis, Pinus armandii, Larix principis-rupprechtii, Quercus liaotungensis, Quercus variabilis, Quercus aliena and Betula platyphylla with standard errors, t-statistics and p-values.
tree species model parameter estimate standard error t-value p-value
P. tabuliformis R1 NLFE X 2.6284 0.055 47.74 <0.0001
k 0.0175 0.0007 26.48 <0.0001
α 3.5901 0.0334 107.38 <0.0001
P. armandii R1 NLFE X 2.8004 0.0566 49.43 <0.0001
k 0.0249 0.0011 23.19 <0.0001
α 4.2164 0.061 69.1 <0.0001
L. principis-rupprechtii L1 NLME X 4.1185 0.0835 49.34 <0.0001
α 32.7942 0.5528 59.33 <0.0001
m 0.5198 0.0212 24.52 <0.0001
Q. liaotungensis R1 NLFE X 3.1125 0.0713 43.65 <0.0001
k 0.0167 0.0011 15.02 <0.0001
α 3.872 0.0675 57.33 <0.0001
Q. variabilis R2 NLFE X 3.0037 0.0676 44.4 <0.0001
k 0.0318 0.0014 23.17 <0.0001
α 1.1591 0.0335 34.61 <0.0001
Q. aliena R1 NLFE X 2.9198 0.0647 45.14 <0.0001
k 0.0182 0.0011 16.68 <0.0001
α 3.419 0.0459 74.54 <0.0001
B. platyphylla R1 NLFE X 2.6749 0.1198 22.32 <0.0001
k 0.0326 0.0023 13.88 <0.0001
α 3.9128 0.0843 46.42 <0.0001