Table 1. Average value of log descriptors for appearance and structural grades.
Production objective: Appearance grades Structural grades
Variable 1st log 2nd log 3rd log 2nd log 3rd log
Small end diameter (SED, cm)
Average 38.52 35.86 33.51 44.91 39.77
Standard deviation 9.25 9.82 9.02 8.41 7.71
Log volume (VOL, m3)
Average 0.73 0.55 0.43 0.89 0.73
Standard deviation 0.36 0.27 0.23 0.32 0.27
Form (FORM)
Average 0.73 0.79 0.79 0.82 0.79
Standard deviation 0.07 0.09 0.07 0.03 0.03
Mean Internode Length (MIL, cm)
Average   71.44 58.12    
Standard deviation   17.5 19.6    
Largest branch (LBR, mm)
Average   56.64 66.55 60.29 73.33
Standard deviation   28.9 23.7 21.0 26.6
Defect cylinder diameter (DCD mm)
Average 240.69        
Standard deviation 5.97        
Pruned log index (PLI)
Average 4.83        
Standard deviation 1.81        
Stiffness (STF, GPa)
Average       7.97 7.97
Standard deviation       1.47 1.26
Number of logs 54 57 45 35 36
Log length (LL, cm) 505 505 410 500 500
Table 2. Descriptive statistics of lumber volume (m3) per tree.
Mean values of trees   Appearance trees Appearance-structural Structural
DBH cm 50.36 61.03 61.03
Total height m 33.31 40.03 40.03
Defect core diameter mm 246.33 281.37  
Log pruned index (PLI)   5.28 6.71  
Volume log 1 m3 0.78 1.08 1.08
Volume log 2 m3 0.59 0.90 0.90
Volume log 3 m3 0.42 0.72 0.72
Volume logs 4,5,6 m3 0.55 1.17 1.17
Pulp volume m3 0.22 0.25 0.25
Table 3. Pearson correlation coefficients between tree attributes and tree value.
Tree category Diameter at breast high (DBH) Stiffness (STF)
Appearance
NZ $/tree 0.95*  
NZ $/m3 tree 0.78*  
Appearance-structural
NZ $/tree 0.67* 0.17
NZ $/m3 tree –0.18 0.82*
Structural
NZ $/tree 0.52* 0.24
NZ $/m3 tree –0.20 0.82*
*Significant at 0.05 level.
Table 4. Descriptive statistics of the average tree returns under five scenarios (Rij), and the average MAD per scenario.
Tree groups Scenario1 Scenario2 Scenario3 Scenario4 Scenario5
Appearance
Mean value (NZ $/tree/ year) 0.59 1.02 0.59 –0.62 1.59
Maximum value 1.88 2.76 1.88 0.12 3.92
Minimum value –0.30 –0.16 –0.30 –1.44 0.04
MAD 0.07 0.39 0.07 1.25 0.95
Appearance-structural
Mean value (NZ $/tree/ year) 1.22 1.66 2.26 –0.46 4.62
Maximum value 2.58 3.21 3.77 –0.05 7.67
Minimum value –0.15 –0.17 0.07 –0.71 1.88
MAD 0.64 0.30 0.57 2.32 2.76
Structural
Mean value (NZ $/tree/ year) 0.76 1.06 1.75 –0.44 4.57
Maximum value 2.94 3.76 3.59 –0.08 8.31
Minimum value –1.76 –1.97 –0.07 –1.18 0.93
MAD 0.78 0.49 0.27 1.98 3.03
Table 5. Value increase on logs and trees due to volume and stiffness increase.
  Appearance Appearance-structural Structural
Volume increase
Butt log 31% 17% 21%
Second log 32% 22% 22%
Third log 31% 23% 23%
Tree 29% 19% 22%
Stiffness increase
Butt log 0% 0% 71%
Second log 0% 58% 58%
Third log 0% 81% 81%
Tree 0% 32% 52%
Fig. 1

Fig. 1. Proportion of trees selected in the solution for different levels of risk. The solutions include appearance (8, 22, 23, 25, 28, 30, 31, 34, blue palette), appearance-structural (48 and 55, green palette) and structural (81 and 86, purple palette) trees.

Table 6. Characteristics of the five trees selected in the portfolio analysis.
  Tree DBH
(cm)
Butt log
SED (cm)
2nd log
SED (cm)
3rd log
SED (cm)
1st log
STF (GPa)
2nd log
STF (GPa)
3rd log
STF (GPa)
2nd log
STF/SED
3rd log
STF/SED
Structural trees
Tree 86 55.3 44.4 40.8 36.2 9.91 11.6 10.6 0.28 0.29
Tree 81 56.5 41.8 36.4 31.7 7.11 9.5 8.5 0.26 0.28
Appearance-structural trees
  Tree
DBH (cm)
Butt log
SED (cm)
2nd log
SED (cm)
3rd log
SED (cm)
1st log PLI 2nd log
STF (GPa)
3rd log
STF (GPa)
2nd log
STF/SED
3rd log
STF/SED
Tree 55 56.7 48.2 43.3 39.8 6.7 9.1 8.9 0.21 0.22
Tree 48 75.9 60.4 56.3 50.6 7.3 7.9 8.0 0.14 0.16
Appearance trees
  Tree
DBH (cm)
Butt log
SED (cm)
2nd log
SED (cm)
3rd log
SED (cm)
1st log PLI 2nd log
MIL (cm)
3rd log
MIL (cm)
2nd log
BIL (cm)
3rd log
BIL (cm)
Tree 34 58.0 46.5 43.5 38.9 6.3 189 83 179 112
Fig. 2

Fig. 2. Portfolio efficiency frontier for the selected trees.