A dynamic forecasting model for the Finnish pulp export price.

Toppinen, Anne; Hänninen, Riitta; Laaksonen, Susanna

Full text of this article is only available in PDF format.

Silva Fennica vol. 30 no. 4 article id 5570 | 1996 | Article

Anne Toppinen , Riitta Hänninen, Susanna Laaksonen

A dynamic forecasting model for the Finnish pulp export price.

Toppinen A., Hänninen R., Laaksonen S. (1996). A dynamic forecasting model for the Finnish pulp export price. Silva Fennica vol. 30 no. 4 article id 5570. https://doi.org/10.14214/sf.a8505

Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between Finnish sulphate pulp export prices and international pulp inventories using the Johansen cointegration method. Long-run equilibrium is found to exist between pulp price and NORSCAN inventory for the study period, 1980-94. Granger causality is found to exist from inventory to price but not vice versa. A simple short-run forecasting model for the Finnish pulp export price is formed. In preliminary analysis, the explanatory power of model is found to be acceptable but only under stable market conditions.

Keywords
inventory; Finland; cointegration; business cycles; pulp; price; sulphate pulp; export prices

Published in 1996

Available at https://doi.org/10.14214/sf.a8505 | Download PDF

Click this link to register to Silva Fennica.

If you are a registered user, log in to save your selected articles for later access.

Contents alert

Export reference to EndNote / RefWorks

Your selected articles
Send to email

Ryynänen L., Viherä-Aarnio A. (1995) Growth, crown structure and seed production of b.. Silva Fennica vol. 29 no. 1 article id 5542 (remove) | Edit comment

Komsi T. J., (1954) Draft proposals for a forest management act in F.. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 61 no. 15 article id 7427 (remove) | Edit comment

Heikurainen L., Laine J. (1976) Effect of fertilization, drainage and temperatur.. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 0 no. 150 article id 7584 (remove) | Edit comment

Marcelli A., Mattioli W. et al. (2020) Large-scale two-phase estimation of wood product.. Silva Fennica vol. 54 no. 2 article id 10247 (remove) | Edit comment

Lindberg H., Aakala T. et al. (2024) Ignition probability and fuel consumption of bor.. Silva Fennica vol. 58 no. 3 article id 23064 (remove) | Edit comment

Hirvivahinkokomitea ., (1960) Report of committee on damage by moose Silva Fennica vol. 0 no. 106 article id 4695 (remove) | Edit comment

Riihinen P., (1981) Effectiveness of forest taxation reform as a mea.. Silva Fennica vol. 15 no. 1 article id 5106 (remove) | Edit comment

Düthorn E., Schneider L. et al. (2015) On the hidden significance of differing micro-si.. Silva Fennica vol. 49 no. 1 article id 1220 (remove) | Edit comment

Palander T., (1997) A local DLP-GIS-LP system for geographically dec.. Silva Fennica vol. 31 no. 2 article id 5617 (remove) | Edit comment

Kivelä A., (1951) Floating in Northern Finland and factors reducin.. Silva Fennica vol. no. 69 article id 4605 (remove) | Edit comment

Oinonen E., (1967) Sporal regeneration of ground pine (Lycopodium c.. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 83 no. 3 article id 7181 (remove) | Edit comment

Heiskanen J., Laitinen J. (1992) A measurement system for determining temperature.. Silva Fennica vol. 26 no. 1 article id 5470 (remove) | Edit comment

Särkilahti E., Valanne T. (1990) Induced polyploidy in Betula. Silva Fennica vol. 24 no. 2 article id 5423 (remove) | Edit comment

Hynynen J., (1995) Predicting the growth response to thinning for S.. Silva Fennica vol. 29 no. 3 article id 5559 (remove) | Edit comment

Manner J., Lundström H. (2025) The effect of boom-tip control on harvester time.. Silva Fennica vol. 59 no. 1 article id 24062 (remove) | Edit comment

Toppinen A., Hänninen R. et al. (1996) A dynamic forecasting model for the Finnish pulp.. Silva Fennica vol. 30 no. 4 article id 5570 (remove) | Edit comment

Your search results