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Articles containing the keyword 'sequential Gaussian simulation'

Category : Research article

article id 22026, category Research article
Annika Kangas, Mari Myllymäki, Lauri Mehtätalo. (2023). Understanding uncertainty in forest resources maps. Silva Fennica vol. 57 no. 2 article id 22026. https://doi.org/10.14214/sf.22026
Keywords: autocorrelation; ensemble modelling; kriging; quantile; random forest; sequential Gaussian simulation
Highlights: Forest resources maps without uncertainty assessment may lead to false impression of precision; Suitable tools for visualization of map products are lacking; Kriging method provided accurate uncertainty assessment for pixel-level predictions; Quantile random forest algorithm slightly underestimated the pixel-level uncertainties; With simulation it is possible to assess the uncertainty also for landscape-level characteristics.
Abstract | Full text in HTML | Full text in PDF | Author Info

Maps of forest resources and other ecosystem services are needed for decision making at different levels. However, such maps are typically presented without addressing the uncertainties. Thus, the users of the maps have vague or no understanding of the uncertainties and can easily make wrong conclusions. Attempts to visualize the uncertainties are also rare, even though the visualization would be highly likely to improve understanding. One complication is that it has been difficult to address the predictions and their uncertainties simultaneously. In this article, the methods for addressing the map uncertainty and visualize them are first reviewed. Then, the methods are tested using laser scanning data with simulated response variable values to illustrate their possibilities. Analytical kriging approach captured the uncertainty of predictions at pixel level in our test case, where the estimated models had similar log-linear shape than the true model. Ensemble modelling with random forest led to slight underestimation of the uncertainties. Simulation is needed when uncertainty estimates are required for landscape level features more complicated than small areas.

  • Kangas, Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Bioeconomy and environment, Yliopistokatu 6, 80101 Joensuu, Finland ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8637-5668 E-mail: annika.kangas@luke.fi (email)
  • Myllymäki, Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Bioeconomy and environment, Latokartanonkaari 9, FI-00790 Helsinki, Finland ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2713-7088 E-mail: mari.myllymaki@luke.fi
  • Mehtätalo, Natural Resources Institute Finland (Luke), Bioeconomy and environment, Yliopistokatu 6, 80101 Joensuu, Finland ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8128-0598 E-mail: lauri.mehtatalo@luke.fi

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Niemistö P., Korpunen H. et al. (2012) Impact and productivity of harvesting while reta.. Silva Fennica vol. 46 no. 1 article id 67 (remove) | Edit comment
Kankaanhuhta V., Saksa T. et al. (2009) Variation in the results of Norway spruce planti.. Silva Fennica vol. 43 no. 1 article id 217 (remove) | Edit comment
Hagfors E. A. M., (1929) Paper on essence of forestry Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 34 no. 36 article id 7249 (remove) | Edit comment
Gyllenberg H., Hanioja P. et al. (1954) Observations on the composition of the microbial.. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 62 no. 2 article id 7451 (remove) | Edit comment
Lappi J., (1983) Elevation of the time factor in reforestation de.. Silva Fennica vol. 17 no. 3 article id 5191 (remove) | Edit comment
Penttinen M., Kinnunen M. (1992) Profitability of forestry in jointly-owned fores.. Silva Fennica vol. 26 no. 4 article id 5489 (remove) | Edit comment
Lehto J., (1956) Studies on the natural regeneration of Scots pin.. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 66 no. 2 article id 7472 (remove) | Edit comment
Finér L., (1991) Effect of fertilization on dry mass accumulation.. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 0 no. 223 article id 7669 (remove) | Edit comment
Pukkala T., (1988) Methods to incorporate the amenity of landscape .. Silva Fennica vol. 22 no. 2 article id 5346 (remove) | Edit comment
Makkonen O., (1954) The principle of comparative time studies in for.. Acta Forestalia Fennica vol. 61 no. 14 article id 7426 (remove) | Edit comment
Honkanen A., (1994) Selection of Salix myrsinifolia clones for bioma.. Silva Fennica vol. 28 no. 3 article id 5532 (remove) | Edit comment
Makkonen O., (1967) Attempts to unify the classification of forest t.. Silva Fennica vol. 1 no. 2 article id 4743 (remove) | Edit comment
Lehtonen I., (1978) Nutrient cycle in a Scots pine stand: IV The amo.. Silva Fennica vol. 12 no. 1 article id 4988 (remove) | Edit comment
Heikurainen L., Laine J. et al. (1983) Fertilization and ditch spacing experiments conc.. Silva Fennica vol. 17 no. 4 article id 5198 (remove) | Edit comment