Category :
Research article
article id 469,
category
Research article
Henri Vanhanen,
Timo O. Veteli,
Sonja Päivinen,
Seppo Kellomäki,
Pekka Niemelä.
(2007).
Climate change and range shifts in two insect defoliators: gypsy moth and nun moth – a model study.
Silva Fennica
vol.
41
no.
4
article id 469.
https://doi.org/10.14214/sf.469
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Environmental factors influenced by global climate change determine the distribution ranges of organisms. Especially ectothermic animals are expected to shift their distribution ranges northwards in the next hundred years or so. In this study simulations made with CLIMEX-modelling software were used to predict the future distribution ranges of two Central European serious forest pest species: the nun moth (Lymantria monacha L. (Lepidoptera: Lymantriidae)) and the gypsy moth (L. dispar L). The software calculates an ecoclimatic index based on the life cycle requirements of a species and thus represents the probability of a viable population to exist at a certain location. Three different climate warming scenarios were considered: temperature increase of 1.4, 3.6 and 5.8°C. Simulations generated with the current climate conditions corresponded well to the current distributions of the species. The climate warming scenarios shifted the northern boundary of the distribution for both of these species north by c. a. 500–700 km. Also the southern edge of the ranges retracted northwards by 100–900 km. The results of this study are in agreement with the results of empirical studies on other species. Being serious pest species, these species pose a potential threat to silviculture and therefore, have to be considered in the planning of forest management practices.
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Vanhanen,
Faculty of Forestry, University of Joensuu, P.O.B. 111, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland
E-mail:
hv@nn.fi
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Veteli,
Faculty of Biosciences, University of Joensuu, P.O.B. 111, FI-80101, Joensuu, Finland
E-mail:
timo.veteli@joensuu.fi
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Päivinen,
Faculty of Forestry, University of Joensuu, P.O.B. 111, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland
E-mail:
sp@nn.fi
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Kellomäki,
Faculty of Forestry, University of Joensuu, P.O.B. 111, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland
E-mail:
sk@nn.fi
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Niemelä,
Faculty of Forestry, University of Joensuu, P.O.B. 111, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland
E-mail:
pn@nn.fi
article id 279,
category
Research article
Gerben Janse.
(2007).
Characteristics and challenges of forest sector communication in the EU.
Silva Fennica
vol.
41
no.
4
article id 279.
https://doi.org/10.14214/sf.279
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Fragmentation of forest policy at the EU level and image problems of the forest industry have increased forest sector actors’ interest for cooperation on and coordination of communication activities. Although internal communication in the forest sector at the European level is generally well developed both formally and informally, the desired strengthening of communication with other sectors and the public at large is perceived as difficult. In this pre-study 39 interviews were conducted with EU and UNECE/FAO officials, EU level Forest-based Industries and forestry sector federation representatives, and forest scientists working at the European level. The results indicate that EU level forest sector core actors’ ideas on communication differ. Ideas range from strictly image improvement; being more successful at lobbying with other sectors and high-level policy-makers; up to building long-lasting relations and two-way communication processes with other sectors. This makes it difficult to come to coordinated action among forest sector actors. A more active exchange of information on best practices in forest communication between national as well as European level actors, and increased coordination of communication efforts is desired by industry, forest owners as well as policy-makers. However, clear ideas on how to improve, especially inter-sectoral, communication are largely lacking.
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Janse,
European Forest Institute, Joensuu, Finland
E-mail:
gerben.janse@efi.int
article id 278,
category
Research article
Katri Luostarinen.
(2007).
The effect of annual ring orientation and drying method on deformations, casehardening and colour of silver birch (Betula pendula) boards.
Silva Fennica
vol.
41
no.
4
article id 278.
https://doi.org/10.14214/sf.278
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Deformations of timber, caused mainly by anisotropic shrinkage, can be partially directed by controlling annual ring orientation through different sawing patterns. Ring orientation also affects the movement of water from within the board to its surface, with rapidity of drying having implications for the wood colour. Here sawn silver birch (Betula pendula Roth) timber was classed into two groups according to ring orientation. Two drying methods were used. The final moisture content was lower and the colour lighter in dried boards with radial than with tangential flats, but deformations were larger in radial than in tangential boards. Both drying and ring orientation affected the final moisture content and moisture gradient of the boards. Very small differences in board sizes or shape had an effect on both colour and deformations. The results support the need for accurate sawing and for classing silver birch timber sawn into parquet billets according to ring orientation in order to optimise the drying quality.
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Luostarinen,
University of Joensuu, Faculty of Forest Sciences, P.O. Box 111, FI-80101 Joensuu, Finland
E-mail:
katri.luostarinen@joensuu.fi
article id 277,
category
Research article
Laura Koskela,
Bikas K. Sinha,
Tapio Nummi.
(2007).
Some aspects of the sampling distribution of the Apportionment Index and related inference.
Silva Fennica
vol.
41
no.
4
article id 277.
https://doi.org/10.14214/sf.277
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As customer-oriented production strategies have gained ground in the sawmill industry, proper measurement of the fit between the log demand and log output distributions has become of crucial importance. The prevailing means of measuring the outcome is the so-called Apportionment Index (AI), which is calculated from the relative proportions of the observed and required distributions. Although some statistical properties of the AI have recently been examined and alternative means of measuring the bucking outcome have been suggested, properties of the sampling distribution of the AI have not yet been widely studied. In this article we examine the asymptotic sampling distribution for the AI by assuming a multinomial distribution for the outcome. Our results are based mainly on large-sample normal approximations. Also some studies of the determination of the number of logs needed to obtain a specified level of accuracy of the AI have been carried out.
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Koskela,
University of Tampere, Dept of Mathematics, Statistics and Philosophy, FI-33014 University of Tampere, Finland
E-mail:
laura.koskela@uta.fi
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Sinha,
Indian Statistical Institute, Kolkata, India
E-mail:
bks@nn.in
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Nummi,
University of Tampere, Dept of Mathematics, Statistics and Philosophy, FI-33014 University of Tampere, Finland
E-mail:
tn@nn.fi
article id 276,
category
Research article
Jianping Zhu,
Pete Bettinger,
Rongxia Li.
(2007).
Additional insight into the performance of a new heuristic for solving spatially constrained forest planning problems.
Silva Fennica
vol.
41
no.
4
article id 276.
https://doi.org/10.14214/sf.276